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The Democratic Party still holds a slim advantage in their chances to retake control of the U.S. House this November, according to a new poll released on Saturday.
A Washington Post-Ipsos survey found that registered voters prefer Democrats by 3 percentage points, with 48 percent favoring Democratic candidates and 45 percent supporting Republican candidates for the lower chamber of Congress.
Of respondents who said they are “absolutely certain” to vote in House races this fall, 53 percent leaned toward supporting Democrats while 45 percent leaned toward Republicans, according to the survey.
The Washington Post-Ipsos poll found that this divide could be attributed to an “enthusiasm gap” between voters in each party’s base, with Democrats more energized to take back control of the lower legislature this fall.
Democrats are 10 points more likely to be “certain” to vote this year compared to Republicans, according to the new poll.
Dissatisfaction within the Republican Party over the Trump administration’s handling of the war with Iran, affordability issues and the president’s general unpopularity all pose as hurdles to Republican candidates on the ballot this November.
Economic and job concerns ranked as a top issue for 54 percent of all respondents when considering their vote in the midterms. High prices, immigration and foreign policy all fell shortly behind.
Some voters also expressed discontent with either party’s ability to address their central concerns.
Twenty-one percent of respondents said they trusted neither party to handle the economy, and 20 percent said neither is concerned with “the needs of people like you.”
The results of this poll follows a recent forecast from Decision Desk HQ that predicted a 226-209 advantage for Democrats in the House after the midterms, while the Senate is projected to remain a 50-50 partisan split.
The Washington Post-Ipsos survey was conducted between July 8-13 among 2,648 U.S. adults with a margin of error of approximately 1.9 percentage points.
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