The 2026 Open Championship tees off on Thursday, July 16, at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England. Rory McIlroy (Masters), Aaron Rai (PGA Championship) and Wyndham Clark (U.S. Open) were the year's first three major winners, and they're all in the 2026 Open Championship field. Scottie Scheffler is the defending Open Championship winner, while Jordan Spieth won this event the last time it was at Royal Birkdale in 2017.
Scheffler is the +700 favorite (risk $100 to win $700) in the latest 2026 Open Championship odds, followed by McIlroy at +850. Englishmen Matt Fitzpatrick (+1500) and Tommy Fleetwood (+1800) are next on the PGA odds board for this event, with Tom Kim, who is coming off a win at the Scottish Open, a +5000 longshot. Before locking in any 2026 Open Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 British Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
Now that the 2026 Open Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
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2026 Open Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Open Championship 2026: Fleetwood, the fourth favorite and the second-lowest English golfer on the board at +1800, stumbles and barely finishes inside top 5. He's a golfer to fade in Open Championship best bets. Fleetwood has a pair of top-5 finishes at the Open Championship, but also missed the cut in 2024 and finished outside the top 10 last year. He finished 27th the last time this event was at the Royal Birkdale. With no finishes better than T11 in any major this year, the model has found better values on the board. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Ludvig Aberg is a top-3 contender on the projected leaderboard despite never having won a major and having longer odds at +3300. This will be just his third British Open appearance, but he finished in the top 25 in this event last year. He's also been steady at the majors this year, which was highlighted by a T4 finish at the PGA Championship. He's one of the best drivers in both distance and accuracy on tour right now, and that quality alone makes him a top contender at Royal Birkdale. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 Open Championship picks
The model is also targeting several longshots, including one shocking pick who is going off around 35-1. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Open Championship odds, field
Get full 2026 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +700 Rory McIlroy +850 Matt Fitzpatrick +1500 Tommy Fleetwood +1800 Jon Rahm +2200 Xander Schauffele +2500 Wyndham Clark +3000 Chris Gotterup +3000 Collin Morikawa +3000 Cameron Young +3000 Justin Rose +3000 Ludvig Åberg +3300 Robert MacIntyre +3300 Tyrrell Hatton +3500 Viktor Hovland +4000 Russell Henley +4500 Sam Burns +4500 Bryson DeChambeau +5000 Tom Kim +5000 Patrick Reed +5500 Shane Lowry +6000 Brooks Koepka +6000 Joaquin Niemann +6000 Justin Thomas +6000 Si Woo Kim +6000 Aaron Rai +6500 Min Woo Lee +6500 Alex Fitzpatrick +6500 Jordan Spieth +6500 Patrick Cantlay +7000 Rickie Fowler +10000 Maverick McNealy +10000 Brian Harman +10000 Corey Conners +10000 Adam Scott +10000 Nicolai Højgaard +10000 Harris English +10000 Kurt Kitayama +10000 Cameron Smith +10000 JJ Spaun +10000 Akshay Bhatia +10000 Kristoffer Reitan +10000 Ben Griffin +10000 Hideki Matsuyama +10000 Michael Thorbjornsen +10000 David Puig +12500 Sepp Straka +12500 Marco Penge +12500 Eugenio Chacarra +12500 Alex Noren +12500 Jason Day +12500 Victor Perez +12500 Jacob Bridgeman +15000 Bud Cauley +15000 Jake Knapp +15000 Jordan Smith +15000 Rasmus Højgaard +15000 Max Homa +15000 Ryan Gerard +15000 Ryan Fox +15000 Angel Ayora +15000 Johnny Keefer +15000 Sungjae Im +17500 Alex Smalley +17500 Jayden Schaper +17500 Haotong Li +17500 Sahith Theegala +17500 Tom McKibbin +17500 Matt Wallace +17500 Keegan Bradley +17500 Harry Hall +17500 Keith Mitchell +17500 Gary Woodland +17500 Ryo Hisatsune +17500 Eric Cole +17500 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +17500 J.T. Poston +17500 Andrew Novak +22500 Lucas Herbert +22500 Thomas Detry +22500 Daniel Berger +22500 Casey Jarvis +22500 Max Greyserman +22500 Michael Brennan +22500 Louis Oosthuizen +25000 Pierceson Coody +25000 Billy Horschel +25000 Jackson Suber +25000 Michael Kim +25000 Matthew Jordan +25000 Matt McCarty +25000 John Parry +35000 Hennie du Plessis +35000 Jesper Svensson +35000 Daniel Hillier +35000 Sam Stevens +35000 Scott Vincent +35000 Keita Nakajima +35000 Nick Taylor +35000 Daniel Brown +35000 Bernd Wiesberger +35000 Michael Hollick +35000 Peter Uihlein +50000 Sami Valimaki +50000 Laurie Canter +50000 Nico Echavarria +50000 Francesco Laporta +50000 Kota Kaneko +75000 Matthew Southgate +75000 Joakim Lagergren +75000 Shaun Norris +75000 Frederic Lacroix +75000 Sam Bairstow +75000 Padraig Harrington +75000 Kazuma Kobori +75000 Andy Sullivan +75000 Francesco Molinari +75000 Adrien Saddier +75000 Antoine Rozner +75000 Caleb Surratt +75000 Jose Luis Ballester +75000 Alejandro De Castro Piera +100000 Nevill Ruiter +100000 Baard Bjoernevik Skogen +100000 Travis Smyth +100000 Dan Bradbury +100000 Naoyuki Kataoka +100000 MJ Daffue +100000 Marcus Plunkett +100000 Cameron John +100000 Tiger Christensen +100000 Ryutaro Nagano +100000 Jeong Woo Ham +100000 Lev Grinberg +100000 Martin Couvra +100000 Jack Buchanan +100000 Stuart Grehan +100000 Matthew Baldwin +100000 Kazuki Higa +100000 Darren Clarke +100000 Fifa Laopakdee +100000 David Duval +100000 Mason Howell +100000 Ren Yonezawa +100000 Jiho Yang +100000 James Nicholas +100000 David Howard +100000 Mateo Pulcini +100000 Henrik Stenson +100000 Tim Wiedemeyer +100000 Stewart Cink +100000 Jack McDonald +100000 Alistair Docherty +100000 Austen Truslow +100000 Tom Sloman +100000
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