SportsLine's model simulated the Truist Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising picks for Quail Hollow
By Daniel Lewis May 4, 2026 at 10:29 am ET • 3 min read 
Imagn Images One of the more competitive stretches on the PGA Tour schedule continues this week with the 2026 Truist Championship at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, N.C., beginning on Thursday. It is another Signature Event, the same status as last week's Cadillac Championship, and it comes a week ahead of the PGA Championship, the second major of the year. Scottie Scheffler is taking the week off, but World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is in the 2026 Truist Championship field.
The latest 2026 Truist Championship odds via FanDuel list McIlroy as the +550 favorite (risk $100 to win $550), with Cameron Young at +850 after going wire-to-wire at the Blue Monster last week. Before locking in any 2026 Truist Championship picks, or any PGA DFS picks or One and Done selections, be sure to see the 2026 Truist Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Truist Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.
2026 Truist Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Truist Championship 2026: It is fading Si Woo Kim, who is sixth on the PGA odds board at +2200, but barely cracks the top 10 in McClure's projected leaderboard. He's a golfer to avoid this week. Kim enters this tournament with three top-10 finishes in his past four events, including a T4 finish at the Cadillac Championship. He finished in solo eighth at the PGA Championship at this course last year, but that was largely powered by a sizzling second-round 64. He shot 71 or higher in the other three rounds, and the model does not project him as a top contender for this week. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model is high on Adam Scott at +3500. He's a golfer to target in both outright and finishing position bets such as top 5 or top 10. The 14-time PGA winner tied with Kim (T4) at the Cadillac Championship last week for his second top-five finish of the year. His putting has been inconsistent, but otherwise his metrics are strong, including ranking first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approaching the green. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 Truist Championship picks
The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one going off around 70-1 who makes a stunning run for the title. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Truist Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Truist Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Truist Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2026 Truist Championship picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Rory McIlroy +550 Cameron Young +850 Xander Schauffele +1200 Matt Fitzpatrick +1300 Ludvig Åberg +1600 Si Woo Kim +2200 Tommy Fleetwood +2200 Robert MacIntyre +3300 Patrick Cantlay +3300 Sam Burns +3300 Rickie Fowler +3500 Ben Griffin +3500 Viktor Hovland +3500 Adam Scott +3500 Sepp Straka +4000 Hideki Matsuyama +4000 Maverick McNealy +4000 Min Woo Lee +4500 Jason Day +4500 Jordan Spieth +4500 J.J. Spaun +4500 Jake Knapp +4500 Harris English +4500 Chris Gotterup +4500 Justin Thomas +5000 Justin Rose +5000 Nicolai Højgaard +5500 Kurt Kitayama +5500 Akshay Bhatia +5500 Keegan Bradley +7000 Alex Noren +7000 Gary Woodland +7000 Alex Smalley +8000 Jacob Bridgeman +8000 Sahith Theegala +8000 Alex Fitzpatrick +10000 Max Homa +10000 Ryan Gerard +10000 Brian Harman +10000 Matt McCarty +10000 Daniel Berger +10000 Harry Hall +10000 Samuel Stevens +10000 Kristoffer Reitan +10000 Corey Conners +10000 Aldrich Potgieter +10000 J.T. Poston +10000 Bud Cauley +10000 Nick Taylor +10000 Ryan Fox +12500 Taylor Pendrith +12500 Ryo Hisatsune +12500 Pierceson Coody +12500 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +12500 Ricky Castillo +15000 Michael Kim +15000 Matt Wallace +15000 Denny McCarthy +15000 Sungjae Im +17500 Andrew Novak +17500 Patrick Rodgers +17500 Andrew Putnam +17500 Mackenzie Hughes +22500 Lucas Glover +22500 Tony Finau +22500 Webb Simpson +25000 Tom Hoge +50000 Nico Echavarria +50000 Jhonattan Vegas +50000 Chandler Blanchet +75000 Brian Campbell +100000 David Lipsky +100000
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