SportsLine's model simulated the 2026 RBC Heritage 10,000 times and revealed its surprising PGA Tour picks for Hilton Head
By Ross Kelly Apr 15, 2026 at 9:09 am ET • 4 min read 
Imagn Images The first major is in the books, but the 2026 PGA Tour season keeps rolling along with a Signature Event this week. The 2026 RBC Heritage will begin on Thursday from Hilton Head in South Carolina, and this event has seen nothing but major winners prevail recently. Entering the RBC Heritage 2026, each of the last six editions of this event have been won by major championship winners, including Justin Thomas (2025), Scottie Scheffler (2024), Matt Fitzpatrick (2023) and Jordan Spieth (2023). They're all in the 2026 RBC Heritage field, with Scheffler the +440 favorite per the latest PGA odds.
Xander Schauffele is the second favorite at +1500, followed closely by Fitzpatrick at +1600. Russell Henley and Cameron Young, both of whom finished tied for third at the Masters, are together at +1800 on this week's PGA odds. Before locking in any 2026 RBC Heritage picks, be sure to see the 2026 RBC Heritage predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen huge returns on betting sites.
Now that the 2026 RBC Heritage field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2026 RBC Heritage predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the RBC Heritage 2026: Young (+1800), who has top 3 finishes in each of his last three tournaments, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. Young has been on quite the run, including winning the Players Championship, but he doesn't have the best course history at Hilton Head. He's simply been non-competitive at this event recently, finishing outside the top 50 in each of the last three years. While Young excels as a ball-striker, the small putting surfaces of Harbour Town Golf Links don't play to his strengths as he ranks 50th in putts per round and 85th in 3-putt avoidance. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas rises up the leaderboard despite having long odds of +4500. Thomas steps onto the course as the defending champion, winning a playoff over Andrew Novak last year. He placed fifth at this event the prior year and has three straight top 25s at the RBC Heritage. While Thomas hasn't played enough rounds this season to qualify for statistical leaderboards, his SG: around-the-green metric of 0.605 still stands out. It would rank fourth on tour if he had enough rounds under his belt, and that's something that will come in handy with the contoured greens and tricky pin positions of this course. The reigning winner of this event not even being among the top 10 in terms of shortest golf odds makes Thomas a steal with RBC Heritage bets. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 RBC Heritage picks
The model is also targeting another stunning longshot of at least +5000 to surge to the top of the leaderboard, potentially bringing a massive return. You can only see who it is at SportsLine.
Who will win the 2026 RBC Heritage, and which massive longshot will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 RBC Heritage odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including the last five Masters.
2026 RBC Heritage odds, field, favorites
Get full 2026 RBC Heritage picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +440 Xander Schauffele +1500 Matt Fitzpatrick +1600 Cameron Young +1800 Russell Henley +1800 Tommy Fleetwood +2000 Ludvig Åberg +2200 Collin Morikawa +2500 Patrick Cantlay +2700 Si Woo Kim +3000 Jordan Spieth +3300 Maverick McNealy +3300 Robert MacIntyre +3500 Viktor Hovland +3500 Sepp Straka +4000 Jake Knapp +4000 Sam Burns +4000 Justin Thomas +4500 Jacob Bridgeman +4500 J.J. Spaun +5000 Shane Lowry +5500 Min Woo Lee +5500 Ryo Hisatsune +6000 Jason Day +6000 Brian Harman +6000 Sahith Theegala +6000 Chris Gotterup +6000 Ben Griffin +6000 Daniel Berger +6000 Ryan Gerard +6000 Alex Noren +6500 Akshay Bhatia +6500 Sungjae Im +7000 Harris English +7000 J.T. Poston +7000 Nicolai Højgaard +8000 Wyndham Clark +8000 Samuel Stevens +8000 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +8000 Gary Woodland +10000 Keegan Bradley +10000 Kurt Kitayama +10000 Matt Wallace +10000 Harry Hall +10000 Corey Conners +10000 Michael Thorbjornsen +10000 Rickie Fowler +10000 Nick Taylor +10000 Matt McCarty +12500 Marco Penge +12500 Andrew Novak +12500 Andrew Putnam +12500 Max Homa +12500 Taylor Pendrith +15000 Jordan Smith +15000 Michael Brennan +15000 Nico Echavarria +17500 Brian Campbell +17500 Tony Finau +17500 Pierceson Coody +17500 Denny McCarthy +17500 Bud Cauley +17500 Austin Smotherman +17500 Billy Horschel +22500 Sami Valimaki +22500 Michael Kim +22500 Ricky Castillo +22500 Chandler Blanchet +25000 Johnny Keefer +25000 Patrick Rodgers +25000 Ryan Fox +25000 William Mouw +35000 David Lipsky +50000 Aldrich Potgieter+50000 Lucas Glover +50000 Karl Vilips +50000 Tom Hoge +50000 Steven Fisk +50000 Garrick Higgo +75000 Jhonattan Vegas +100000 Adam Schenk +100000 Joe Highsmith +100000
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