SportsLine's model simulated the Texas Children's Houston Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising PGA picks this week
By Daniel Lewis Mar 23, 2026 at 10:42 am ET • 3 min read 
Imagn Images A two-week stop in Texas leads into the Masters, and up first is the 2026 Houston Open beginning on Thursday at Memorial Park Golf Course. Texas native Scottie Scheffler is in the 2026 Houston Open field, and he's a substantial favorite in the 2026 Houston Open odds this week at +310. No other golfer is lower than +2200. Other Houston Open contenders include defending champion Min Woo Lee (+2200), Chris Gotterup (+2200), Sam Burns (+2500), Jake Knapp (+2700) and Brooks Koepka (+2700), who has just one top-10 finish this season in five tournaments since returning to the PGA.
Should you lay the pricy number on Scheffler this week, or is there better value on one of the many longshots in the field? Before locking in any 2026 Houston Open picks, entering any Houston Open one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters -- its fourth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
New users can bet the 2026 Houston Open with the latest DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets instantly after any $5+ bet:
Now that the 2026 Houston Open field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or Houston Open DFS lineups.
2026 Houston Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Houston Open 2026: Min Woo Lee, the defending champion and the second favorite, is not in the projected top five. He's a golfer to fade this week. The 27-year-old Australian has had a strong season, but his last outing at The Players Championship was more of a struggle. He shot 70 or higher in each round, including a fourth-round 74 as he finished T32. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model says Nicolai Hojgaard is a top-three favorite this week despite hit long odds at +4000. He had a tough weekend at the Valspar Championship last week, but hasn't finished worst than T27 at any other event this season. That includes a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open and a T6 at the Cognizant Classic. See who else to pick here.
New users can also check out the latest FanDuel promo code and get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days:
How to make 2026 Houston Open picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers going off at +4000 or higher to make a strong run, including a massive +6000 longshot. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Houston Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Houston Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Houston Open odds, favorites
Get full 2026 Houston Open picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +310 Min Woo Lee +2200 Chris Gotterup +2200 Sam Burns +2500 Jake Knapp +2700 Brooks Koepka +2700 Rickie Fowler +3000 Kurt Kitayama +3000 Harris English +3500 Ben Griffin +3500 Marco Penge +3500 Harry Hall +3500 Adam Scott +4000 Nicolai Højgaard +4000 Shane Lowry +4000 Michael Thorbjornsen +4000 Ryan Gerard +4500 Keith Mitchell +4500 Jason Day +5000 Wyndham Clark +5000 Taylor Pendrith +5500 Rasmus Højgaard +5500 Samuel Stevens +5500 Sungjae Im +6000 Pierceson Coody +6000 Alex Smalley +6500 Stephan Jaeger +6500 Aaron Rai +7000 Patrick Rodgers +7000 Will Zalatoris +7000 Davis Thompson +7000 Ryan Fox +8000 Ricky Castillo +8000 Max Greyserman +8000 Sahith Theegala +8000 Tony Finau +8000
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